Welcome to:

BIG PICTURE WORLD

         BLOG

by Economist

Rodrigue TREMBLAY, Ph.D.

 

TheNewAmericanEmpire.com

 

 

 

The New American Empire: READ THE BOOK!

 

Shop at Amazon.com!

Click to order the book from Amazon.com

 

 

***** To order

The Code for Global Ethics,

by Rodrigue Tremblay,

click: The Code for Global Ethics, Ten Humanist Principles

 

 

ARCHIVES

 

FRANCAIS                    ESPANOL          ITALIANO

DEUTSCH          PORTUGUES      CROATIAN

SLOVENIAN     POLISH     SERBIAN     TURKISH

   CZECH     GREEK     RUSSIAN

 

***Lisez des extraits du livre du Professeur Tremblay:

Le Code pour une éthique globale

Janvier 2009   ISBN: 978-2-89578-173-8

 

***Read excerpts from Dr. TREMBLAY's new book:

The Code for Global Ethics: Ten Humanist Principles

Prometheus Books   April 2010

ISBN: 978-1616141721

 

 

 

Wednesday, March 20, 2013

The Iraq War Fiasco, Ten Years Later

by Rodrigue Tremblay

(Author of the books “The Code for Global Ethics”, and “The New American Empire”)

 

 

"International law? I better call my lawyer; he didn't bring that up to me."

George W. Bush (1946- ), U.S. president (2001-2009), (December 12, 2003)

 

"I told George Bush as early as August 2002, during a meeting in Detroit, that we would support him if he receives the authorization from the UN. —I told him: 'To have the backing of the U.N., it will be necessary that you establish more clearly that he [Saddam Hussein] has weapons of mass destruction.' —There was no such evidence. Since he [George W. Bush] did not provide sufficient evidence, he did not get the support of the U.N. ... Without an authorization from the United Nations, Canada must stay away from military interventions abroad, even if they are carried out by its allies. "

Jean Chrétien (1934- ), Prime Minister of Canada (1993-2003), (March 13, 2013)

 

Those who were 100 percent certain there were weapons of mass destruction [in Iraq, before the March 2003 invasion] had less than zero percent knowledge.”

Hans Blix (1928- ), former chief United Nations weapons inspector, August 2010

 

“I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.”

Alan Greenspan (1926- ), former Federal Reserve Chairman (in “The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World”, 2007)

 

“He who wants to kill his dog accuses him of having rabies.”

Old French saying

 

 

This month marks the 10th anniversary of the decision by the Bush-Cheney administration to invade the country of Iraq and initiate what can be called a war of choice. This is a good time to briefly look back at this unsavory historical episode.

 

Public opinion polls indicate that a majority of Americans now think the 2003 Iraq war, in which tens of thousands of Iraqis and thousands of Americans died, was a mistake. In the UK., the other country most involved with the Iraq war, a similar poll taken recently indicates that only 28 percent of Brits now believe the war was justified and made the world a safer place.

 

Other polls also indicate that George W.Bush has a good chance to be considered, if not the worst, certainly among the worst presidents the United States ever had. The man had no moral compass.

 

Indeed, his personal and unilateral decision to launch an illegal war of aggression in 2003—against Iraq, a country that had not attacked the United States—based on disingenuous lies, fabrications, disinformation and propaganda, and in violation of the United Nations' Charter, whose Security Council refused to authorize the American aggression, will go down in history as one of those abuses and pretexts that devious politicians resort to when they want to circumvent international law in order to promote some narrow personal or national interests.

 

But Iraq had a lot of oil, and it was considered in certain circles an enemy of Israel, a country that the current generation of American politicians supports blindly. That was enough to want to topple its government and take control of it.

 

In the summer and fall of 2002, distressed by what I considered nothing less than a neocon cabal and a series of outrageous lies by the Bush-Cheney administration, I began writing a book denouncing the coming war of aggression against Iraq.

 

The book was initially published in French six weeks before the March 20, 2003 military assault against Iraq under the title “Why Bush Wants War” (“Pourquoi Bush veut la guerre”), a book presently out of print (now a collector's item). It was published one year later, this time in English, under the title of The New American Empire”, and, a few years later, was published in Europe under the title of Le nouvel empire américain and was also translated into Turkish under the title Yeni Amerikan ImperatorLugu”.

 

The book described the type of cabal and aggressive war campaign in the Bush-Cheney administration and in many American media to push the United States toward an illegal war of aggression in the Middle East in order to overthrow Iraq's Saddam Hussein regime and to exert an overt influence in the way that country uses its natural resources.

 

Indeed, the 2003 American war against Iraq was primarily an economic war, because the government of Saddam Hussein was excluding U.S. and U.K. companies from Iraqi oil resource development. This was in retaliation for these two countries supporting unconditionally Israel's decades-long oppression of the Palestinians. As a consequence, the Bush-Cheney administration and its vassal Tony Blair in England felt that they had to intervene militarily in order to prevent French, German, Russian, and Chinese oil companies to develop Iraq's oil, while U.S. and U.K. oil company interests were excluded. Basic economic interests were thus at play and international law was powerless to stop the military onslaught.

 

The pretext found was to accuse Iraq to harbor “weapons of mass destruction” that it could possibly and eventually use against its neighbors. Such so-called “weapons of mass destruction” were never found because they never existed in the first place, as the Hans Blix U.N. inspecting commission had publicly certified. The entire propaganda operation by the Bush-Cheney administration was nothing more than a lie and a fraud.

 

Mind you, the 2003 Iraq war was triggered by the Bush-Cheney administration after the United States was already involved in a protracted war against Al Qaeda fundamentalist conservatism in Afghanistan, and this since the fall of 2001 under a United Nations' authorization and in retaliation for this latter country Taliban government's support for the 9/11 terrorists.

 

Another oft-repeated lie by the Bush-Cheney administration was that the government of Iraq had been involved, one way or another, in the 9/11 attack. Not a thread of evidence has ever been produced to that effect, while all indications were to the contrary that secular Saddam Hussein was vehemently opposed to the religiously-bent Al Qaeda terrorist network of Osama bin Laden.

 

The American people and a majority in Congress would probably not have supported the Iraq military invasion had there not have been a barrage of propaganda that originated from the pro-Israel Lobby in the media and the Cheney-Rumsfeld-Wolfowitz-Libby-Perle cabal inside the U.S. government. These two campaigns had a tremendous impact in persuading a passive public still shaken by the 9/11 terrorist attacks that the lies it was fed were facts.

 

We pretend to live in countries of laws and not of men and that nobody is above the law. This can be disputed, however, in light of the fact that no one in the Bush-Cheney regime in the U.S. and in the Tony Blair regime in the U.K. has been held accountable to date for this massive abuse of power, a prima facie impeachable offense. Instead, most of the actors in this tragedy have been rewarded with plush nominations.

 

The U.S. military officially withdrew from Iraq in 2011, but that country is still in a mess and it will suffer economically and politically for decades to come the destruction and destabilization it has been subjected to by the 2003 U.S.-led military invasion.

COMMENTS (7)

                                                                      

 

Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay, a Canadian-born economist, is the author of the book The Code for Global Ethics, Ten Humanist Principles”, and ofThe New American Empire”)

 

Please visit the book site about ethics at:

www.TheCodeForGlobalEthics.com/

 

Posted, Wednesday, March 20, 2013, at 5:30 am

Email to a friend

 

Or click Here.

Send contact, comments or commercial reproduction requests (in English or in French) to:

bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

 

N.B.: Messages may be published in our weblog, unless you request otherwise.

Please register to receive free alerts on new postings of articles.

Send an email with the word "subscribe" to: bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

To unregister, send an email with the word "unsubscribe" to: bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

To write to the author:

rodrigue.tremblay@yahoo.com

 

N.B.: This article is distributed privately and without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes, and is not intended in any way as personal advice of any sort.

Disclaimer: All quotes mentioned above are believed in good faith to be accurately attributed, but no guarantees are made that some may not be correctly attributed.

_________________________________

© 2013 by Big Picture World Syndicate, Inc.

 

 

Thursday, March 7, 2013

A More Than Questionable Bernanke Fed Monetary Policy

by Rodrigue Tremblay

(Author of the books “The Code for Global Ethics”, and “The New American Empire”)

 

 

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered."

Thomas Jefferson (1743-1826), 3rd US President

 

"It is well enough that people ... do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning."

Henry Ford (1863-1947), American automobile industrialist

 

"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves, in the course of time, a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it."

Frederic Bastiat (1801-1850), French economist

 

 

It is becoming increasingly obvious that the Bernanke Fed's monetary policy of fixing short-term interest rates at close to zero percent, and (with inflation at two percent or so) of forcing negative real interest rates, was primarily designed not to help the U.S. economy but to shore up the super large American banks that were on the verge of bankruptcy when the investment bank Lehman Brothers failed on September 15, 2008. Indeed, with this policy, the Bernanke Fed has transferred hundreds of billions to these super banks at a huge cost to the rest of the economy and to international holders of U.S. dollars.

 

Just as the Greenspan Fed created the housing bubble and let the derivatives market explode, thus sowing the seeds of the 2007-2008 financial crisis, the Bernanke Fed, using faulty economic analysis, has embarked upon a policy of zero short-term interest rates for many years, —an open-ended QE3 policy of buying mortgages and other financial instruments with newly printed money, thus creating the largest bond bubble in U.S. history.

 

When the distortions it has created in the U.S. economy unfolds in the coming years, the true costs of this policy will become clearer. Indeed, when the Fed tries to unload the financial assets it has acquired from the near-insolvent super large American banks, in a not too distant future, bond prices will be in danger of collapsing and nominal interest rates could spike, with a very negative impact on financial markets and on the real economy.

 

Economists know that price controls and price fixing do not work, at least, not for very long. Credit markets are not immune to this economic reality. In any market, for any good or service, when prices are fixed by a government or a government agency below the market clearing price, sooner or later a gap develops between the excess quantity demanded and the insufficient quantity offered.

 

The classical example of resource misallocation is rent control implemented in some cities and in some countries. The inevitable result of such a policy is eventually the appearance of a shortage of rental units and a deterioration in the quality of those still offered. In fact, if any given government wishes to create housing slums and a housing shortage, it can just impose stringent rent controls on a permanent basis. This does not mean that housing cannot be subsidized. But freezing prices is generally not an efficient way to subsidize housing or any other commodity or service.

 

Now. What happens when the Fed artificially sets the short-term interest rate at close to zero for a long period? A long series of negative economic repercussions follow.

 

-First, large banks which have access to Fed loans at this artificially low rate will borrow as much of that newly created money as they can and they will lend risk-free to the deficit-laden government at two or three percent. Nice trade if you can get it!

-Second, the demand for bank loans will go up with the banks' prime borrowing rate artificially low. However, banks will increase their borrowing requirements for private borrowers since they can invest their excess reserves risk-free, either at the Fed itself, albeit a low rate, or by lending to the government at a higher rate. Private borrowers will be frustrated and valuable projects may remain under-financed, while the government has little incentive to curb its deficit.

-Third, banks and their preferential clients will use part of their excess reserves obtained at close to zero percent to buy financial assets. Stock prices and bond prices will go up.

-Fourth, other investors such as insurance companies and pension funds, with the knowledge that the Fed will keep short-term rates low for an extended period of time, will buy staggered long-term bonds and keep their prices artificially high, when one considers the inflation risk and the time risk involved.

-Fifth, with borrowing rates so low for so long, some financial operators will begin buying up companies with leveraged money, thus placing finance ahead of industry.

—All of this translates into negative economic and financial distorsions in the long run.

 

Maybe that's the reason the Bernanke Fed seems so popular on Wall Street. It has been a powerful tool for asset reflation. I even personally heard a financial commentator on the CNBC financial TV network declare that Ben Bernanke was the “best Fed chairman, ever” because he was being credited for a stock market rally!

 

Such is not the consensus among economists and on Main Street, where savers and retirees on fixed income have seen their revenues collapse over the last five years. That reminds me how Fed chairman Alan Greenspan was venerated on Wall Street, that is, until it became clear that his policy of low interest rates, easy money, junk mortgages and inadequate banking regulation brought down the financial house of cards. In economics, there is no magic, and the piper has to be paid sooner or later!

 

I don't know if it is because of the fact that the American central bank and its federal banking system is partly owned by large private banks, or because there are so many bankers who sit on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), (the committe that sets interest rates) and who are in conflict of interest, but the Fed has a recurring and nagging tendency to create financial bubbles and economic booms and busts that end up—more often than not—benefiting large banks and their CEOs, at a huge cost to the real economy. The Fed is really an institution primarily designed to subsidize large banks with public money.

 

The American government itself subsidized the large banks with its $700 billion TARP program. We agree that the Fed had to intervene during the financial panic that followed the failure of Lehman Brothers, whatever its role in creating that crisis. However, did it have an obligation to keep subsidizing the super large banks for five years or more and dump the cost on the rest of the economy while imposing very little restraint on their lax behavior? I don't think so.

 

The Fed cannot argue that without such a prolonged subsidy policy, the ­economic recovery after the 2008-2009 recession would have been thwarted. In fact, this has been the slowest recovery from a recession since WWII. And the Bernanke Fed should share some responsibility for that.

 

But now that the Bernanke Fed has dug itself into a monetary hole, it should be extra prudent and careful in reversing course, less it precipitate the U.S. economy into another recession.

 

People have suffered enough in losing their jobs and, for many, their homes, and for many retirees, the income from their savings, without again being the Fed's victims.

 

 

COMMENTS (9)

 

 

Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay, a Canadian-born economist, is the author of the book The Code for Global Ethics, Ten Humanist Principles”, and ofThe New American Empire”)

 

Please visit the book site about ethics at:

www.TheCodeForGlobalEthics.com/

 

Posted, Thursday, March 7, 2013, at 5:30 am

Email to a friend

 

Or click Here.

Send contact, comments or commercial reproduction requests (in English or in French) to:

bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

 

N.B.: Messages may be published in our weblog, unless you request otherwise.

Please register to receive free alerts on new postings of articles.

Send an email with the word "subscribe" to: bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

To unregister, send an email with the word "unsubscribe" to: bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

To write to the author:

rodrigue.tremblay@yahoo.com

 

N.B.: This article is distributed privately and without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes, and is not intended in any way as personal advice of any sort.

Disclaimer: All quotes mentioned above are believed in good faith to be accurately attributed, but no guarantees are made that some may not be correctly attributed.

 

© 2013 by Big Picture World Syndicate, Inc.

 

 

Thursday, February 7, 2013

The U.S. Congress: From One Crisis to Another

by Rodrigue Tremblay

(Author of the books “The Code for Global Ethics”, and “The New American Empire”)

 

 

“The full consequences of a default — or even the serious prospect of default — by the United States are impossible to predict and awesome to contemplate. . . Denigration of the full faith and credit of the United States would have substantial effects on the domestic financial markets and on the value of the dollar in exchange markets."

Ronald Reagan (1911-2004), 40th President of the United States (1981–89), (1983)

 

“Decisions about the debt level [should] occur in conjunction with spending and revenue decisions as opposed to the after-the-fact approach now used, ... [doing so] would help avoid the uncertainty and disruptions that occur during debates on the debt limit today.”

U.S. Government Accountability Office (G.A.O.)

 

"I will not have another debate with this Congress over whether they should pay the bills for what they've racked up. ... We can't not pay bills that we've already incurred."

President Barack Obama, Tuesday January 1, 2013

 

"That’s why the American people hate Congress."

Chris Christie, New Jersey Republican Governor, (January 2, 2013, after the Republican House majority refused to vote on a $60 billion aid package for victims of Superstorm Sandy)

 

One crisis averted, three to come! Indeed, that's what can be said after the U.S. House of Representatives passed legislation on January 23, 2013, to suspend the government’s statutory borrowing limit for three months.

 

In fact, the cycle of artificially created crises will go on and on in Washington D.C. Now, the next crises are scheduled for March 1s, for March 27th and for May 19th. Stay tuned. —On March 1st, automatic sequester cuts agreed by Congress in 2012 will take effect, causing an immediate cut of $69 billion in public discretionary spending. Then, on March 27, the U.S. government's ability to fund itself (the "continuing resolution") will run out. And, of course, come May 19, the melodrama of raising the debt ceiling will be back again in force.

 

Ever since Republicans took control of the 435-member U.S. House of Representatives in 2010, a fiscal drama with the White House and the U.S. Senate has been replayed time and again. One of the political gimmick is called the “raising of the country's debt limit.

 

Why so many artificial crises in the current American political system? Extreme political polarization seems to be the answer.

 

Indeed, since the 2010 mid-term election, when the Republican Party took control of the House of Representatives with some 242 seats, this party has behaved as if it were in fact two parties in one. There is the traditional conservative Republican Party on one side, and the radical Republican Tea Party on the other side. With some 67 anarchist anti-tax and anti-establishment Tea Party House members voting as a block, the latter has been in a position to hold the balance of power in the House and to prevent compromised solutions to the country’s fiscal problems.

 

A good example was the 2011 showdown between the Democratic Obama administration and the Republican-controlled House of Representatives regarding raising the U.S. government’s debt ceiling.

 

In the spring of 2011, House Republicans, spurred by Tea Party members who practice no party discipline toward the Republican Party except to themselves, and reneging on a decades-long bipartisan tradition, refused to raise the nation’s debt ceiling, thus threatening to push the U.S. government toward debt default. They demanded that the Obama administration concede to freezing tax revenues and to enacting massive spending cuts. In the midst of a financial crisis and an economic slowdown, such huge public spending cuts could have pushed the U.S. economy toward an economic depression similar to the 1930’s Great Depression.

 

For the first time, therefore, House Tea Party members decided to use the perfunctory requirement to raise the debt limit to gain partisan political advantage. That move has introduced into the functioning of the U.S. Congress an element of radicalism and brinkmanship that could prevent the U.S. government from operating properly for years to come.

 

Mind you, the obligation for Congress to vote on raising the U.S. government’s debt ceiling has existed since a 1917 law to that effect was enacted. It allows the U.S. Treasury to proceed with borrowing to finance government operations as outlined in an already approved budget for a given fiscal year.

 

Economically speaking, indeed, there are three main ways to finance public expenditures: -through tax revenues; -through borrowing; -or, through the printing press, when a government borrows from its own central bank. The latter is in fact an inflation tax imposed on every user of the national currency.

Therefore, if the U.S. Congress has already approved a public budget of operations that does not raise taxes in a sufficient amount to cover outlays, and if an inflation tax is out of question, the only other avenue left is to borrow the required funds.

 

For years, the 1917 requirement to raise the debt limit was considered redundant since the budget had already been approved and it was seen as a simple bipartisan formality. Since 1940, for example, the U.S. debt ceiling has been raised 94 times, 54 times by a Republican administration and 40 times by a Democratic administration. Altogether the debt ceiling has been raised 102 times since 1917. It has been raised every year that the U.S. government has run a deficit.

 

If the Tea Party members of the House keep on routinely using the 1917 law to formally raise the debt limit as an obstructionist tool, Congress may be constantly gridlocked and the U.S. government will continue going from crisis to crisis. A small minority of House members could then hold the U.S. government hostage. As a consequence, it could become increasingly difficult for the U.S. Administration to implement sensible economic and fiscal policies along the principle of majority rule. The U.S. economy is bound to suffer severely from such a political paralysis.

 

In 2011, former president Bill Clinton expressed the view that the 1917 law is unconstitutional since it goes against Article I, sec. 8 of the U.S. Constitution that requires that Congress pay “the Debts and provide for the ... general Welfare of the United States.” Besides, the Fourteenth Amendment (section 4) of the U.S. Constitution states that: "the validity of the public debt of the United States ... shall not be questioned.

 

Therefore, if Congress does not fulfill its duties for one reason or another, the President in whom executive power is vested may have the right to act for the “general Welfare of the United States.

 

In the coming weeks, if the House of Representatives refuses bipartisan cooperation and keeps stonewalling the Administration, President Obama may have no other choice but to call the Tea Party members’ bluff by unilaterally declaring the 1917 law unconstitutional and letting the courts sort it out later.

 

A constitutional crisis may seem to many to be a better alternative than a repetitive and protracted economic and financial crisis and an economy constantly teetering on the brink of a permanent “fiscal cliff”.

 

COMMENTS (5)

 

___________________________________________

Dr. Rodrigue Tremblay, a Canadian-born economist, is the author of the book The Code for Global Ethics, Ten Humanist Principles”, and ofThe New American Empire”)

 

Please visit the book site about ethics at:

www.TheCodeForGlobalEthics.com/

 

Posted, Thursday, February 7, 2013, at 5:30 am

Email to a friend

 

Or click Here.

Send contact, comments or commercial reproduction requests (in English or in French) to:

bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

 

N.B.: Messages may be published in our weblog, unless you request otherwise.

Please register to receive free alerts on new postings of articles.

Send an email with the word "subscribe" to: bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

To unregister, send an email with the word "unsubscribe" to: bigpictureworld@yahoo.com

To write to the author:

rodrigue.tremblay@yahoo.com

 

N.B.: This article is distributed privately and without profit to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for research and educational purposes, and is not intended in any way as personal advice of any sort.

Disclaimer: All quotes mentioned above are believed in good faith to be accurately attributed, but no guarantees are made that some may not be correctly attributed.

 

© 2013 by Big Picture World Syndicate, Inc.

 

 

 

ARCHIVES